Out of all those bets in midweek nothing was even close, nothing! So today is do or die. If this losses well I couldn't even pick my nose never mind a football result. My knowledge of the game was I thought pretty good and I have all the stats to hand and even in play I check the in play stats and still I bet I have a success rate of about 20%. Even that's probably a long way off..
I have to address the problem and see were I am going wrong and I think the value bets are not the right way to go. I see potential when Infact its the bookies paradise. I'll give you an example. West Brom are at home v Aston Villa who are plump bottom of the Prem league and won one game in a host of fixtures. West Brom are tough to break down and gicpve the top sides a real hard time but West Brom can counter attack with the best of them and have a top notch striker to boot!
The odds for West Brom at home are 2.25. Now in the past I would have punted a large sum of money with those odds but not today. So let's just see if the bookies do have it right. If they do then we can look for these fixtures in the future and maybe back the draw or even the opposite of the fav.
But today I have found a short price home team and should win easily. It's had the full £30 which is all we have left and it's time we look to bounce back. If it fails then Im going to rethink about this challenge and maybe change it in some way. But let's not go there just yet.
So I've gone for Burton at home v Shrewsbury. Top of the table and coasting against a side fighting for survival.
23 Jan 2016 - Burton v Shrewsbury - Match Betting
Burton @ 1.61
Stake:£30.00
Transaction Reference:O/15104457/0000062/F
I've actually found the right tab as well to make my posts look better.....
No comments:
Post a Comment